Analysis of Juvenile Crime Statistics in the Philippines (Focus on RA 9344 / Pangilinan Law Context)

Analysis of Juvenile Crime Statistics in the Philippines (Focus on RA 9344 / Pangilinan Law Context)

Amiel Gerald A. Roldan™

June 25, 2026


 

Refined Transcription (from the recent "JUST Dare To Ask" / Dare To Ask clip, widely shared on Facebook in June 2026):


Rodrigo Duterte (FPRRD):


"Here comes Pangilinan. Do you know what the guy did? 


'Yung problema natin ngayon... Under the Pangilinan Law — hindi ka makulong [you won't go to jail]. That increased the number of crimes tenfold."


More complete context from the full clip:


"May isang senador. Below eight [or] below nine no criminal liability 'yan... Above nine under twelve, tingnan ang piskal kung may malice or violent character. Noon twelve hanggang sixteen, apply na 'yong law. Pero usually 'yong bata talagang ni-release.


Itong si Pangilinan... 'yong problema natin ngayon, 'yong mga holdaper na 'yon 'yong nakikita ninyo noon sa [Dway/DO] Boulevard? Nakikita ninyo snatch, takbo dito takbo doon, nakukuha sa camera.


And do you know why they are so bold to do that? Because they have been previously... under the Pangilinan Law, hindi ka makulong.


Eh kung 'yong fifteen years old, papasok ka ng bahay, sasaksakin ka, patayin ka, tapos kunin 'yong pera... Pagdating doon sa istasyon, sabihin ng pulis, 'oh minor 'yan.' That increased the number of crimes. Thankful piskal na ako noon...


Napakagago talaga. And the Congress that went along with it... Hindi pa ninyo binasa ng husto 'yan.


Kaya doon nagsimula ang pulis na magsabi, 'ah minor 'yan, wag 'yan.' ... Even if there is a Pangilinan Law...


Itong si Pangilinan talaga hindi niya ginamit 'yong utak niya. Eh nag-seminar sa Harvard eh. Pagbalik, American law na. Sa American law, the minors are not released back to the streets. There is a halfway house...


Wala man tayong halfway house, so anong ginawa dito? Pag naaresto, they are brought to the DSWD... Helpless ang gobyerno.


It's actually catch twenty-two. Pag inaresto mo, ang pulis... hesitant. Alam mo bakit? Pagka sinabi minor, hindi na pupunta 'yan.


Kaya lumaki 'yan. Marami 'yan sila 'yong nakikita mo hanggang ngayon sa TV na nag-i-snatch tapos tumatakbo. 'Yon ang dahilan diyan.


Mayor ako noon. I have criticized... talagang nagmumura na rin ako kasi galit ako.


Okay na sana 'yong below nine, wala talaga 'yan... Pero 'yong Pangilinan Law, below eighteen. Seventeen years old — patayin nila, pasukin ka sa bahay, sasaksakin kayong lahat, kunin n'yo 'yong pera ninyo. Ba-bye.


Kahit sa drugs... Sinong runner nila sa droga? Mga bata. Bigay sa kanila... Pag nahuli, umuwi ka na. Gano'n kalala ang ginawa ni Pangilinan."


---


Key Points in the Rant

- Criticism of RA 9344 (Juvenile Justice and Welfare Act): Duterte argues it effectively shields minors (especially 9–17) from real consequences, leading to bolder juvenile offenders in street crimes (snatching, home invasions) and drug running.

- He contrasts it with U.S. practices (halfway houses) and says police/D SWD handling makes enforcement weak.

- This is consistent with his long-standing position since his mayoral days and presidency.


The clip is a recirculated/edited segment from an older speech (likely 2017–2022 era), resurfaced amid current debates on juvenile crime in the Philippines. The auto-generated transcripts in shares have some OCR/translation quirks (e.g., "Dway Boulevard," "piskal" = fiscal/prosecutor), but the above is cleaned and cross-referenced for accuracy. **Analysis of Juvenile Crime Statistics in the Philippines (Focus on RA 9344 / Pangilinan Law Context)**


Key Trends (2017–Mid-2025)

Official data from the **Juvenile Justice and Welfare Council (JJWC)**, drawing from PNP and other agencies, shows a **dramatic long-term decline** in cases involving Children in Conflict with the Law (CICL):


- 2017 peak: 26,850 cases.

- 2024: 4,383 cases — an **84% drop** from 2017.

- Mid-2025 (as of June): 5,698 cases — already exceeding the full-year 2024 total, signaling a potential reversal.


Earlier years (pre-2017) had higher numbers (e.g., around 15,000 in 2014), with a notable decline accelerating post-pandemic lockdowns but now showing signs of rebound.


Demographics:

- Predominantly male (around 85% in various reports).

- Concentration in older teens: Many cases involve 16–17-year-olds. For heinous crimes (2020–mid-2025), 63% were 16–17, 37% were 15 and below.

- Common in urban or economically challenged areas.


Most Common Offenses:

- Property crimes (theft, robbery, snatching, malicious mischief): Often ~40–60% of cases — linked to economic vulnerability, poverty, and survival needs.

- Crimes against persons (physical injury, assault, rape): Around 20–36%, with spikes in rape during lockdowns (e.g., 21% of CICL reports in 2020).

- Drug-related and other offenses make up the rest.


Heinous Crimes (e.g., rape, murder, kidnapping): A smaller but notable subset. From 2020 to mid-2025, PNP recorded 7,754 such cases involving minors.


Impact of RA 9344 (Juvenile Justice and Welfare Act of 2006)

This law (authored by Sen. Francis Pangilinan) raised the minimum age of criminal responsibility to 15, emphasizes **diversion, rehabilitation, and restorative justice** over punishment, and directs minors to intervention programs, DSWD, or Bahay Pag-asa facilities rather than adult jails.


- Proponents' view (JJWC, DSWD, child rights groups): The sharp decline (especially post-2017) demonstrates success. The law diverts thousands from formal justice systems, reduces recidivism through rehabilitation, and protects children from adult prison influences. Full-year 2025 data is pending, but the decade-long drop aligns with better diversion and community programs.

- Critics' view (e.g., Duterte-era statements): The law emboldens minors by limiting detention, leading to repeat offenses, bolder street crimes, and police hesitation. Recent upticks and high-profile incidents (e.g., school violence) fuel calls for amendments, such as lowering the age or strengthening accountability.


Caveats on Data and Causation:

- Underreporting and recording changes: RA 9344 shifted many cases from "arrests" to "diversion" or social welfare handling, so raw PNP arrest stats may understate total involvement.

- External factors: Pandemic lockdowns reduced street crimes initially but increased domestic issues (e.g., rape). Economic pressures, family dysfunction, poverty, and weak implementation of support systems (e.g., insufficient Bahay Pag-asa facilities) are major drivers.

- Enforcement gaps: Police sometimes express frustration with repeat offenders; rehabilitation programs vary by region and resourcing.


Recent Context (2025–2026)

Mid-2025 uptick (5,698 cases by June) has raised alarms about fraying safety nets post-pandemic. High-profile cases, including school-related incidents and drug involvement, keep the debate alive. PNP has reported school-related youth offender incidents, and broader "Safer Cities" initiatives target minor violations to prevent escalation.


Overall Assessment

- Positive long-term trend: Juvenile cases have fallen sharply under RA 9344's framework, suggesting rehabilitation-focused approaches can work when resourced.

- Emerging concerns: The 2025 rebound, combined with persistent property crimes, heinous offenses by older teens, and implementation weaknesses, indicates the system needs bolstering (more funding for facilities, prevention programs, family support) rather than outright repeal.

- Data is not perfect due to reporting variations, but the numbers do **not** show a "tenfold increase" as sometimes rhetorically claimed; instead, they reflect broader socio-economic realities.


For the most current full-year 2025 figures, check JJWC or PNP reports directly, as data evolves. 


 

FPRRD on Sen. Pangilinan Law https://www.facebook.com/share/v/14gPoiQkQyk/


https://youtu.be/Q-lGipwnCe0?si=L5xoHXLdX9lTh1Nk&fbclid=IwZXh0bgNhZW0CMTEAc3J0YwZhcHBfaWQPMjc1MjU0NjkyNTk4Mjc5AAEeVeknWDZQFnSz7oQnCgPaBzJLHSTP_K9Y1tOk_xaEZq_kFryVA-OWSlLCAYI_aem_kJaaaT7cMsaL5HUWo2oOPg


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*** credit to the owners of the photo & articles otherwise cited



If you like my any of my concept research, writing explorations, art works and/or simple writings please support me by sending me a coffee treat at my paypal amielgeraldroldan.paypal.me or GXI 09053027965. Much appreciate and thank you in advance.



Amiel Gerald A. Roldan™' s connection to the Asian Cultural Council (ACC) serves as a defining pillar of his professional journey, most recently celebrated through the launch of the ACC Global Alumni Network.  

​As a 2003 Starr Foundation Grantee, Roldan participated in a transformative ten-month fellowship in the United States. This opportunity allowed him to observe contemporary art movements, engage with an international community of artists and curators, and develop a new body of work that bridges local and global perspectives.

Featured Work: Bridges Beyond Borders         His featured work, Bridges Beyond Borders: ACC's Global Cultural Collaboration, has been chosen as the visual identity for the newly launched ACC Global Alumni Network. 

​Symbol of Connection: The piece represents a private collaborative space designed to unite over 6,000 ACC alumni across various disciplines and regions.

​Artistic Vision: The work embodies the ACC's core mission of advancing international dialogue and cultural exchange to foster a more harmonious world.

​Legacy of Excellence: By serving as the face of this initiative, Roldan's art highlights the enduring impact of the ACC fellowship on his career and his role in the global artistic community.

Just featured at https://www.pressenza.com/2026/01/the-asian-cultural-council-global-alumni-network-amiel-gerald-a-roldan/


He is a Filipino multidisciplinary visual artist, printmaker, painter, independent curator, researcher, writer, and cultural worker whose practice spans contemporary art, curatorial work, and cultural advocacy. He has been active in the Philippine art scene since the late 1990s and has worked with galleries, museums, artist-run spaces, and international cultural organizations.


I'm trying to complement my writings with helpful inputs and prompts. Bear with me as I am treating this blog as repositories and drafts.    

Please comment and tag if you like my compilations visit www.amielroldan.blogspot.com or www.amielroldan.wordpress.com 

and comments at

amiel_roldan@outlook.com

amielgeraldroldan@gmail.com 



A multidisciplinary Filipino artist, poet, researcher, and cultural worker whose practice spans painting, printmaking, photography, installation, and writing. He is deeply rooted in cultural memory, postcolonial critique, and in bridging creative practice with scholarly infrastructure—building counter-archives, annotating speculative poetry like Southeast Asian manuscripts, and fostering regional solidarity through ethical art collaboration.

 

He has been active in the Philippine art scene since the late 1990s and has worked with galleries, museums, artist-run spaces, and international cultural organizations.

His practice appears to represent several interconnected concerns:

  • Cultural work as artistic practice. Roldan has argued that the labor of curating, organizing exhibitions, teaching, documentation, and cultural administration should be understood as creative work rather than merely support work. This perspective has been reflected in his writings and exhibitions.

  • Social and political engagement. His artworks frequently address politics, religion, faith, denial, courage, social inequality, and the everyday experiences of Filipinos. He has stated that he draws inspiration from Filipino cultural practices while approaching painting, printmaking, and installation from a conceptual perspective.

  • Printmaking and conceptual art. Roldan is particularly recognized for his printmaking, with works shown internationally, including exhibitions in Japan and France. His practice also encompasses painting, photography, installation, and curatorial research.

  • International cultural exchange. A significant milestone in his career was receiving an Asian Cultural Council fellowship in 2003, which enabled him to undertake research and create work in the United States while engaging with artists and curators internationally.

More broadly, Roldan's work represents an attempt to bridge artistic production, curatorial practice, scholarship, and cultural activism. His writings often emphasize postcolonial discourse, cultural memory, and the ethics of artistic collaboration, positioning the artist not only as a maker of objects but also as a builder of cultural infrastructure.

In the Philippine contemporary art context, he can be understood as representing the figure of the artist-curator-cultural worker—someone who contributes both through making artworks and through developing exhibitions, mentoring artists, and fostering institutional and independent cultural initiatives. 

Recent show at ILOMOCA

https://www.facebook.com/share/v/16qUTDdEMD 


https://www.linkedin.com/safety/go?messageThreadUrn=urn%3Ali%3AmessageThreadUrn%3A&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.pressenza.com%2F2025%2F05%2Fcultural-workers-not-creative-ilomoca-may-16-2025%2F&trk=flagship-messaging-android



Asian Cultural Council Alumni Global Network 

https://alumni.asianculturalcouncil.org/?fbclid=IwdGRjcAPlR6NjbGNrA-VG_2V4dG4DYWVtAjExAHNydGMGYXBwX2lkDDM1MDY4NTUzMTcyOAABHoy6hXUptbaQi5LdFAHcNWqhwblxYv_wRDZyf06-O7Yjv73hEGOOlphX0cPZ_aem_sK6989WBcpBEFLsQqr0kdg


Amiel Gerald A. Roldan™          started Independent Curatorial Manila™ as a nonprofit philanthropy while working for institutions simultaneously early on.   

The           Independent Curatorial Manila™          or          ICM™          is a curatorial services and guide for emerging artists in the Philippines. It is an independent/voluntary services entity and aims to remain so. Selection is through proposal and a prerogative temporarily. Contact above for inquiries.    

 





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***

 Disclaimer:

This work is my original writing unless otherwise cited; any errors or omissions are my responsibility.The views expressed here are my own and do not necessarily reflect those of any organization or institution.

Furthermore, the commentary reflects my personal interpretation of publicly available data and is offered as fair comment on matters of public interest. It does not allege criminal liability or wrongdoing by any individual.


 

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